chivoexpiatorio
0x73bb…9473 · Joined July 3, 2024
chivoexpiatorio has made $9,188 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #16,216 all time by profit, with 825K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 18, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$9,188
- All-time volume (shares)
- 825K
- Portfolio value
- $9,915
- Profit this month
- +$106
- Win rate (last 62 closed)
- 53%
How chivoexpiatorio has traded
Across all 62 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 33 (53%) ended in profit and 29 in a loss, for +$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $9,915 together, the biggest is “Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?” (Yes) at 48% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$8,009
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,977
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Jul 21, 2024
+$4,585
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Gold · entry 77% · closed Jan 24, 2026
+$3,509
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$3,320
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$2,349
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
No · entry 32% · closed Jun 5, 2025
+$1,654
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,268
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jul 31, 2025
+$1,099
Biden drops out in July?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jul 21, 2024
+$1,083
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Oct 30, 2024
−$3,800
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Trump · entry 35% · closed Sep 17, 2024
−$1,667
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
No · entry 19% · closed Sep 4, 2025
−$1,554
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jan 13, 2026
−$1,390
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Aug 14, 2025
−$1,091
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$963
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jun 23, 2025
−$926
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$764
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$736
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Trump · entry 68% · closed Sep 18, 2024
−$694
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 16%, now 37% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,780
+$2,694 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 18%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,664
−$175 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 10%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,154
−$42 P&L
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
No · entry 14%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,104
+$484 P&L
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
No · entry 21%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$655
+$212 P&L
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes · entry 9%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$388
−$120 P&L
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
Yes · entry 14%, now 2% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$103
−$574 P&L
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
No · entry 45%, now 49% · ends Jan 1, 2028
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
No · entry 43%, now 69% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34
+$12 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 10%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Bought Yes at 9%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Sold No at 45%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 46%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 45%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Bought No at 43%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Bought No at 31%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Bought No at 17%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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