
wish- has made $74K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,576 all time by profit, with 17M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$74K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 17M
- Portfolio value
- $180K
- Profit this month
- −$5,421
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 87%
How wish- has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 169 (87%) ended in profit and 26 in a loss, for +$3,744 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 88%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $119K together, the biggest is “Trump out as President before 2027?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jan 28, 2026
+$19K

US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$7,524

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Jan 2, 2026
+$7,470

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$5,651

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Feb 25, 2026
+$4,840

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$3,854

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$3,809

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 23, 2026
+$3,763

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
No · entry 66% · closed Feb 26, 2026
+$3,661

Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 15, 2026
+$3,068
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes · entry 88% · closed May 26, 2026
−$14K

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$8,476

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$8,472

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 2, 2026
−$7,234

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed May 9, 2026
−$6,665

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
No · entry 53% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$6,271

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 30, 2026
−$6,124

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
No · entry 92% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$6,030

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 21, 2026
−$5,721

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$5,052
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$109 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$76 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$76 P&L

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$46 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$362 P&L

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,906
+$151 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,245
−$204 P&L

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,993
+$13 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,794
+$55 P&L

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 75% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,599
−$917 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 84%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,201
+$353 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,077
+$194 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,660
+$50 P&L

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,508
+$54 P&L

Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 89% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,190
+$20 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 94%
Trump out as President before 2027?

Sold No at 99%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?

Bought No at 95%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Bought No at 96%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Bought No at 96%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Bought No at 91%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 98%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Sold No at 98%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Sold No at 98%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Sold No at 98%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Bought No at 95%
Trump out as President before 2027?

Bought No at 97%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Bought No at 97%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Bought No at 91%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 37%
Will Widow's Bay rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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