ferrorum
0x7285…8757 · Joined August 18, 2024
ferrorum is down $84 in realized results on Polymarket, with 130K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 18, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$84
- All-time volume (shares)
- 130K
- Portfolio value
- $661
- Profit this month
- +$0
- Win rate (last 23 closed)
- 39%
How ferrorum has traded
Across all 23 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 9 (39%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for −$80 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $661 together, the biggest is “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?” (No) at 61% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$2,186
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$550
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$8
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jun 29, 2025
+$6
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 79% · closed Jun 29, 2025
+$4
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Sep 23, 2025
+$3
US government shutdown in 2025?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$2
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 1, 2024
+$1
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Nov 24, 2024
+$0
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$2,187
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$550
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 0.6% · closed Mar 14, 2025
−$52
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Nov 24, 2024
−$9
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jan 3, 2025
−$9
Will Chris Kirk win the 2025 PGA TOUR Rocket Classic?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Apr 13, 2026
−$7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 14, 2024
−$6
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$4
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Dec 21, 2024
−$4
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?
No · entry 50%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$406
+$181 P&L
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$155
+$0 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?
Yes · entry 50%, now 10% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$44
−$181 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 57%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades
Sold No at 96%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Sold No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Bought No at 96%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Bought No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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