d1k21 has made $95K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,054 all time by profit, with 50M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$95K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 50M
- Portfolio value
- $74K
- Profit this month
- +$291
- Win rate (last 185 closed)
- 43%
How d1k21 has traded
Across the 185 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 79 (43%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for +$8,653 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $74K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 56% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$308K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$242K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$179K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
No · entry 34% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$113K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 62% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$79K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$69K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$53K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$46K
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Nov 11, 2024
+$41K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$38K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 64% · closed Nov 11, 2024
−$107K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 34% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$70K
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$31K
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$30K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$41K
+$15K P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$15K P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,725
+$25 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,725
−$25 P&L
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,234
+$24 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 44%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,008
+$1,612 P&L
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,774
+$71 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,623
+$1 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 5%, now 6% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$275
+$25 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 26%, now 6% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$175
−$650 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$5
−$2,487 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 94%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Sold No at 97%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 95%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold No at 97%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Sold Yes at 4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 96%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Sold Yes at 5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at >99%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought No at 7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.