groth has made $146K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,389 all time by profit, with 2.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$146K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.8M
- Portfolio value
- $103K
- Profit this month
- +$1,242
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 85%
How groth has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 170 (85%) ended in profit and 30 in a loss, for +$85K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $90K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Aug 5, 2026
+$19K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 18% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$14K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 53% · closed May 12, 2026
+$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$11K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
No · entry 22% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No · entry 35% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$8,472
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No · entry 74% · closed Sep 11, 2026
+$4,667
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
No · entry 35% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,501
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$3,850
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$3,756
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
No · entry 31% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$5,478
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$1,545
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$1,286
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
No · entry 19% · closed Mar 31, 2026
−$1,249
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No · entry 78% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$1,170
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
No · entry 16% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$1,123
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Aug 18, 2026
−$655
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
No · entry 13% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$545
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Aug 21, 2026
−$545
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
No · entry 2% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$512
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
−$104 P&L
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No · entry 82%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$1,180 P&L
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$9,924
+$874 P&L
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,295
+$395 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 40%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,648
−$343 P&L
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 31%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,224
+$922 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$3,138
+$289 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?
Yes · entry 90%, now >99% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,469
+$218 P&L
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,433
+$77 P&L
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Yes · entry 16%, now 73% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,290
+$1,801 P&L
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 23%, now 48% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,242
+$1,147 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 83%, now 95% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,828
+$219 P&L
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 21%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,702
+$877 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes · entry 55%, now 70% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,637
+$339 P&L
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes · entry 44%, now 43% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,577
−$46 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 50%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 84%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Bought Yes at 36%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at >99%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Bought No at 6%
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Bought No at 6%
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Bought Yes at 36%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Bought No at 6%
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Bought No at 76%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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