failed- is down $426 in realized results on Polymarket, with 39K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$426
- All-time volume (shares)
- 39K
- Portfolio value
- $1
- Profit this month
- −$1,596
- Win rate (last 24 closed)
- 83%
How failed- has traded
Across all 24 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 20 (83%) ended in profit and 4 in a loss, for −$214 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 21 of the 24 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Down · entry 96% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$78
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Up · entry 98% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Down · entry 72% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Down · entry 71% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Down · entry 47% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Up · entry 89% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Up · entry 92% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Down · entry 93% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Down · entry 89% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$4
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$426
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Up · entry 56% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Down · entry 91% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$8
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 0.8%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Sold Yes at 52%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Up at 54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?
Bought Down at 58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Bought Up at 94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Bought Down at 1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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