
AgricultureSecretary
0x6ffb…a834 · Joined June 27, 2024
AgricultureSecretary has made $586K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #352 all time by profit, with 48M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$586K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 48M
- Portfolio value
- $69K
- Profit this month
- −$154K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 70%
How AgricultureSecretary has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 137 (70%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for −$33K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $69K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 64% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$116K

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Sep 19, 2025
+$44K

Will Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$35K

Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET
Up · entry 1% · closed Jan 7, 2026
+$35K

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 5, 2025
+$31K

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jan 13, 2026
+$28K

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Aug 28, 2025
+$27K

BYU Cougars vs. Colorado Buffaloes (W)
Colorado Buffaloes · entry 25% · closed Feb 15, 2026
+$27K

ATP Winston Salem - Korda vs. Fucsovics
Fucsovics · entry 39% · closed Aug 22, 2025
+$27K

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET
Down · entry 2% · closed Jul 10, 2025
+$25K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Bucks vs. Grizzlies
Bucks · entry 99% · closed Dec 27, 2025
−$52K

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
No · entry 50% · closed Sep 19, 2025
−$44K

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Down · entry 91% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$34K

Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5
Over · entry 43% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$34K

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 5, 2025
−$28K

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 28, 2025
−$27K

Wizards vs. Raptors
Raptors · entry 5% · closed Mar 9, 2025
−$18K

Will Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Oct 2, 2024
−$16K

Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Mar 7, 2025
−$11K

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Oct 4, 2024
−$8,397
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 94%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$44K
+$2,711 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 11%, now 17% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$6,172 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 67%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,889
−$40K P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 36%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$730
+$10 P&L

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 5%, now 7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$655
+$165 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 13%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$442
+$377 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 9%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$428
−$272 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 16%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$390
+$70 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes · entry 16%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$350
+$30 P&L

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes · entry 16%, now 13% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$256
−$63 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 8%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$255
+$15 P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 14%, now 13% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$250
−$30 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$242
−$19 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
No · entry 10%, now 11% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$231
+$11 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 20%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$231
−$49 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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