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WhaleSays

lox-frogs

0x6e49…f1af · Joined February 8, 2026

#3,220,805 all time#392,030 this monthView on Polymarket

lox-frogs is down $44K in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.6M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Aug 9, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$44K
All-time volume (shares)
4.6M
Profit this month
−$0
Win rate (last 200 closed)
31%

How lox-frogs has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 62 (31%) ended in profit and 138 in a loss, for −$3,270 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 90 of the 200 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    Yes · entry 60% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$2,002

  • Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 10, 2026

    +$1,853

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    Yes · entry 43% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$1,630

  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026

    +$1,599

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?

    Yes · entry 61% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    +$1,184

  • Government shutdown on Saturday?

    No · entry 95% · closed Feb 15, 2026

    +$1,134

  • Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

    Yes · entry 31% · closed Apr 13, 2026

    +$1,039

  • Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

    Over · entry 4% · closed Jun 26, 2026

    +$858

  • Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?

    Yes · entry 58% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$843

  • Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

    No · entry 66% · closed Apr 2, 2026

    +$842

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

    No · entry 42% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$3,980

  • US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

    No · entry 71% · closed Apr 14, 2026

    −$2,047

  • Government shutdown on Saturday?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Feb 15, 2026

    −$1,597

  • Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 39% · closed Jul 15, 2026

    −$1,349

  • Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

    Under · entry 55% · closed Jul 10, 2026

    −$1,303

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

    Up · entry 9% · closed Feb 18, 2026

    −$1,186

  • US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.3% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$1,111

  • Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

    Under · entry 85% · closed Jun 26, 2026

    −$1,045

  • US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

    No · entry 35% · closed Apr 13, 2026

    −$981

  • Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    No · entry 81% · closed Apr 13, 2026

    −$969

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.

Recent trades

  • Bought No at 2%

    Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

    $0

  • Bought No at 2%

    Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

    $0

  • Bought No at 2%

    Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

    $0

  • Bought No at 2%

    Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

    $0

  • Bought Yes at 60%

    Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?

    $18

  • Bought Yes at 5%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    $0

  • Bought Yes at 5%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    $0

  • Sold Yes at 28%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    $1

  • Bought Yes at 62%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    $2

  • Sold No at 2%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $0

  • Bought No at 4%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $0

  • Bought No at 4%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $0

  • Sold No at 16%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $1

  • Sold No at 9%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $1

  • Bought No at 7%

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?

    $1

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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