rebase is down $1,066 in realized results on Polymarket, with 248K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 28, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,066
- All-time volume (shares)
- 248K
- Portfolio value
- $3,481
- Profit this month
- −$704
- Win rate (last 109 closed)
- 65%
How rebase has traded
Across all 109 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 71 (65%) ended in profit and 38 in a loss, for +$1,410 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,481 together, the biggest is “Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?” (Yes) at 60% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$1,050
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jun 30, 2026
+$827
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$578
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$538
Knicks vs. Spurs
Knicks · entry 37% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$352
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$248
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Yes · entry 22% · closed May 21, 2026
+$217
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$210
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Aug 24, 2026
+$195
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jan 12, 2026
+$167
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$889
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$703
Royals vs. Cubs
Cubs · entry 58% · closed Dec 27, 2025
−$627
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$500
Knicks vs. 76ers
76ers · entry 53% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$500
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
No · entry 31% · closed Jul 15, 2025
−$310
Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Dec 17, 2025
−$250
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$200
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$151
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 13, 2026
−$120
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Yes · entry 65%, now 68% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,099
+$99 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 16%, now 17% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$627
+$27 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 36%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$429
−$571 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$206
+$2 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 8%, now 7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$87
−$13 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes · entry 12%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 47%, now 7% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Nov 8, 2028
$5
−$95 P&L
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 41%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold Yes at 7%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
$143
Sold No at 86%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
$137
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
$2,000
Bought Yes at 49%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
$1,000
Bought Yes at 56%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
$1,002
Bought No at 5%
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
$25
Sold Yes at 3%
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
$12
Bought No at 3%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
$20
Sold Yes at 8%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
$33
Bought Yes at 62%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$2,000
Bought Yes at 66%
Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?
$200
Bought Yes at 12%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
$50
Bought Yes at 16%
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
$60
Bought Yes at 20%
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
$50
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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