Verwar is down $71 in realized results on Polymarket, with 22K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$71
- All-time volume (shares)
- 22K
- Portfolio value
- $59
- Profit this month
- −$1
- Win rate (last 15 closed)
- 27%
How Verwar has traded
Across all 15 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 4 (27%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for −$71 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 59%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $59 together, the biggest is “Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 90% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Nov 21, 2024
+$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Down · entry 53% · closed Apr 20, 2026
+$4
US government shutdown in 2025?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Dec 6, 2025
+$1
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in June?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 5, 2024
+$0
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed May 17, 2026
+$0
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$36
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Apr 20, 2026
−$25
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Feb 14, 2025
−$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Dec 10, 2025
−$7
Trump fined over $100k?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Nov 21, 2024
−$7
US government shutdown by October 1?
No · entry 37% · closed Apr 20, 2026
−$7
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Apr 20, 2026
−$6
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$5
Will 2024 be better than 2023?
No · entry 62% · closed Dec 14, 2024
−$4
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
No · entry 84% · closed Jan 3, 2025
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 70% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 51%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Recent trades
Sold No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Sold No at 90%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
$240
Bought No at 90%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
$240
Bought Down at 52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
$4
Sold No at >99%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$599
Bought No at >99%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$600
Bought Yes at 51%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$3
Bought Yes at 41%
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
$6
Sold Yes at 0.6%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
$43
Bought Yes at 0.7%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
$50
Bought No at 37%
US government shutdown by October 1?
$7
Bought Yes at 76%
US government shutdown in 2025?
$4
Bought Yes at 53%
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
$25
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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