Belgaron is down $71K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$71K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.0M
- Portfolio value
- $182K
- Profit this month
- −$31K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 70%
How Belgaron has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 139 (70%) ended in profit and 60 in a loss, for −$27K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 74%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $88K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 12% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$5,033
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Seahawks · entry 80% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$3,149
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$2,828
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$2,811
Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jul 18, 2026
+$2,744
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$2,631
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$2,465
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$2,336
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
No · entry 77% · closed Apr 3, 2026
+$2,315
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$2,162
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$53K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 74% · closed Jun 11, 2026
−$16K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$8,541
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$8,269
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$6,224
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$4,905
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$4,532
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs · entry 93% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$4,315
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$2,854
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
No · entry 78% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$2,606
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$2,336 P&L
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,950
+$488 P&L
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,564
+$385 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,660
+$98 P&L
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,427
+$656 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,524
+$752 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 65%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,502
+$70 P&L
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,201
+$378 P&L
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Yes · entry 73%, now 76% · ends Jun 7, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,042
+$173 P&L
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Yes · entry 84%, now 87% · ends Jun 7, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,715
+$164 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,428
+$134 P&L
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,422
+$180 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,405
+$120 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,067
+$332 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,872
+$162 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Sold Yes at 23%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought No at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought No at 81%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Bought Yes at 78%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 78%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.