chillballer
0x6af7…5a6f · Joined December 21, 2024
chillballer has made $9,936 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #15,169 all time by profit, with 1.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$9,936
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.3M
- Portfolio value
- $16K
- Profit this month
- −$2,505
- Win rate (last 80 closed)
- 74%
How chillballer has traded
Across all 80 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 59 (74%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for +$43K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 61%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $16K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 50% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$10K

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$5,402

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$3,775

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$3,135

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
No · entry 37% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$2,261

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Spain · entry 68% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$1,940

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
No · entry 60% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$1,932

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · entry 58% · closed Aug 4, 2026
+$1,915

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jul 13, 2026
+$1,884

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$1,680
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$4,548

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$4,123

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$2,640

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Oct 13, 2026
−$1,915

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 30% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$1,386

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$1,234

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 25, 2026
−$1,014

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$948

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
No · entry 89% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$891

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Sep 26, 2026
−$570
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 65%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,938
−$62 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 53%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,540
+$1,420 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 76%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,715
+$189 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 73%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,580
−$116 P&L

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 10%, now 12% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$673
+$83 P&L

Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?
No · entry 79%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$382
+$66 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 85%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8
−$4,492 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 10%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Bought Yes at 65%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?

Bought No at 79%
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Bought Cody Chovancek at 54%
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Bought Marvin Moeller at 61%
Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller

Bought Marvin Moeller at 88%
Catania: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller

Bought Tamara Zidansek at 89%
Mallorca: Tamara Zidansek vs Joelle Steur

Sold Yes at 71%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?

Bought Yes at 72%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?

Bought Cody Chovancek at 55%
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Bought Leylah Fernandez at 68%
Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez

Sold Yes at 10%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Sold Yes at 80%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought Yes at 85%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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