Rundown-Schoolhouse
0x6abe…d6a5 · Joined April 7, 2025
Rundown-Schoolhouse is down $3,132 in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$3,132
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $12K
- Profit this month
- +$1,569
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 87%
How Rundown-Schoolhouse has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 173 (87%) ended in profit and 26 in a loss, for +$7,270 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $12K together, the biggest is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?” (No) at 43% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Up · entry 43% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$7,612

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$4,779

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Up · entry 53% · closed Apr 24, 2026
+$4,198

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Down · entry 47% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$2,050

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
No · entry 87% · closed Feb 27, 2026
+$1,987

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Down · entry 57% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$1,924

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
No · entry 85% · closed Jul 25, 2026
+$1,782

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Up · entry 59% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$1,687

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$1,467

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Up · entry 24% · closed May 6, 2026
+$1,352
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 36% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$9,034

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No · entry 21% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$6,226

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$4,605

Nothing Ever Happens: June
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$3,582

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Down · entry 60% · closed Feb 14, 2026
−$3,409

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Down · entry 75% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$3,116

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Up · entry 50% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$2,314

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Up · entry 52% · closed May 3, 2026
−$1,894

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Mar 10, 2026
−$1,761

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$1,525
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,312
+$138 P&L

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,730
+$123 P&L

Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$990
+$0 P&L

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$943
+$32 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 57%, now 56% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$565
−$5 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$403
−$17 P&L

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No · entry 71%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$329
+$72 P&L

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$266
+$25 P&L

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
No · entry 97%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$189
−$4 P&L

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$188
−$7 P&L

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$186
+$17 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$124
+$10 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 96%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 79%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Sold No at 98%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Sold No at 83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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