TylerTurden has made $173K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,191 all time by profit, with 6.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$173K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.2M
- Portfolio value
- $50K
- Profit this month
- +$986
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 94%
How TylerTurden has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 186 (94%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for +$41K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 94%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 14 largest open positions listed below, worth $50K together, the biggest is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?” (No) at 49% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Feb 12, 2026
+$20K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 52% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$12K
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No · entry 54% · closed Dec 4, 2025
+$9,921
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 90% · closed May 1, 2026
+$8,601
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
No · entry 81% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$8,507
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
No · entry 50% · closed Dec 4, 2025
+$8,421
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$5,685
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$5,237
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,865
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
No · entry 54% · closed Dec 4, 2025
+$4,319
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$3,827
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$3,807
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
No · entry 15% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$3,370
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Yes · entry 97% · closed May 26, 2026
−$3,294
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$2,376
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Dec 4, 2025
−$1,562
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No · entry 90% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$1,413
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 26, 2026
−$1,058
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jan 22, 2026
−$793
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
No · entry 15% · closed Feb 13, 2026
−$749
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$154 P&L
Iran leadership change by October 31?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$347 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,774
−$37 P&L
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,565
−$15 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,241
+$3 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$726
+$4 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 74%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$619
+$35 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$546
−$4 P&L
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$523
+$23 P&L
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$331
−$1 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$310
+$0 P&L
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$167
−$0 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
No · entry 92%, now 99% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$138
+$10 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?
Yes · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$137
+$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 99%
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 98%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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