mombil has made $497K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #419 all time by profit, with 45M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$497K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 45M
- Portfolio value
- $494K
- Profit this month
- +$18K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 52%
How mombil has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 103 (52%) ended in profit and 96 in a loss, for −$100K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 33%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $411K together, the biggest is “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (No) at 52% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$56K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 62% · closed May 1, 2026
+$38K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$31K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$27K
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Mar 14, 2025
+$27K
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$20K
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
No · entry 66% · closed Feb 2, 2026
+$20K
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Yes · entry 21% · closed Nov 11, 2024
+$20K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Oct 10, 2025
+$19K
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
No · entry 21% · closed Jan 24, 2026
+$16K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jul 8, 2026
−$78K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$46K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$35K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 3, 2026
−$33K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Mar 14, 2025
−$31K
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$26K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$22K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 27, 2026
−$16K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 83% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$15K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jul 2, 2025
−$15K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 50%, now 82% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$214K
+$84K P&L
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$54K
+$8,525 P&L
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$46K
−$84K P&L
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 90%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$500 P&L
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 4%, now 5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$3,614 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$1,606 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 59%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,558
+$559 P&L
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 69%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,516
+$1,250 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 46%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,316
+$3,412 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 12%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,037
−$235 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$5,849
+$524 P&L
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,448
+$130 P&L
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 14%, now 20% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,670
+$1,246 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 57%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,523
+$463 P&L
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 45%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,214
+$2,242 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 91%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 20%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 20%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 21%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 21%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Sold No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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