Marioy has made $288 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #146,556 all time by profit, with 3.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$288
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.9M
- Portfolio value
- $195K
- Profit this month
- +$15K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 81%
How Marioy has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 161 (81%) ended in profit and 39 in a loss, for −$39K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 194 of the 200 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $183K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?” (No) at 16% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Apr 15, 2026
+$6,500

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$5,733

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Apr 15, 2026
+$4,915

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$2,658

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Mar 27, 2026
+$2,349

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
No · entry 53% · closed May 1, 2026
+$2,330

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
No · entry 90% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$2,197

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Mar 23, 2026
+$1,960

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
No · entry 81% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,850

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Apr 15, 2026
+$1,840
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
No · entry 89% · closed Jun 5, 2026
−$12K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$10K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 2, 2026
−$9,625

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 3, 2026
−$7,957

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?
Yes · entry 93% · closed May 28, 2026
−$7,550

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$6,892

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
No · entry 68% · closed Jun 3, 2026
−$6,123

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 21% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$4,300

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jun 25, 2026
−$4,109

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$4,089
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$622 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 43%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$15K P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 59%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$11K P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$5,870 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?
No · entry 90%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,900
+$900 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,820
+$528 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 74%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,646
+$2,184 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
No · entry 87%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,365
+$665 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 29%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,050
+$6,150 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 50%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,841
+$2,743 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?
No · entry 92%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,978
+$381 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 71%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,675
+$1,125 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 35%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,650
+$2,900 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 26%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,575
+$3,275 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 87%, now 90% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,475
+$115 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 89%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 89%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 89%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 89%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 87%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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