
Jellow2 has made $126K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,577 all time by profit, with 6.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$126K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 6.5M
- Portfolio value
- $158K
- Profit this month
- +$28K
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 61%
How Jellow2 has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 120 (61%) ended in profit and 76 in a loss, for +$79K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 114 of the 196 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $157K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jun 22, 2026
+$9,860

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$9,514

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jan 6, 2026
+$8,599

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$7,041

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
No · entry 78% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$6,489

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$6,380

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$6,233

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$6,192

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
No · entry 29% · closed May 20, 2026
+$5,742

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Dec 23, 2025
+$5,538
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 57% · closed May 19, 2025
−$18K

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$9,970

US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 32% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$6,445

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 27% · closed May 12, 2026
−$6,262

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$4,383

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jan 15, 2026
−$4,008

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$3,662

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$3,381

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$3,205

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$3,053
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 67%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36K
+$12K P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$450 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 60%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$11K P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$5,960 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry 90%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$11K
+$1,033 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,112
+$433 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71%, now 75% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,263
+$336 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
No · entry 88%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$6,191
+$706 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 49%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,240
+$1,320 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 17%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,489
+$3,729 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,040
−$5,960 P&L

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 68%, now 70% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,780
+$60 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,905
−$15 P&L

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?
Yes · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,060
+$59 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 57%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$489
+$111 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 91%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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