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Detailed-Challenge

0x64c8…73ce · Joined September 30, 2024

#3,233,004 all time#673,134 this monthView on Polymarket

Detailed-Challenge is down $124K in realized results on Polymarket, with 11M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$124K
All-time volume (shares)
11M
Portfolio value
$308K
Profit this month
−$7,363
Win rate (last 92 closed)
73%

How Detailed-Challenge has traded

Across all 92 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 67 (73%) ended in profit and 25 in a loss, for +$48K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 54 of the 92 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $308K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?” (No) at 29% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 78% · closed Nov 5, 2025

    +$118K

  • Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

    No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2025

    +$51K

  • Will Biden finish his term?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    +$33K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 68% · closed Dec 14, 2025

    +$28K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 89% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$23K

  • Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

    No · entry 90% · closed Jan 1, 2025

    +$19K

  • Iran strike on Israel before December?

    No · entry 90% · closed Dec 1, 2024

    +$19K

  • Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

    Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 24, 2026

    +$17K

  • Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?

    No · entry 89% · closed Jan 21, 2025

    +$14K

  • Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

    Yes · entry 53% · closed Aug 5, 2026

    +$9,706

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will there be a US Government shutdown?

    No · entry 83% · closed Dec 25, 2024

    −$177K

  • Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?

    Yes · entry 99% · closed Jun 17, 2025

    −$99K

  • Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Dec 8, 2024

    −$39K

  • Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

    No · entry 32% · closed Jan 22, 2025

    −$19K

  • Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

    No · entry 84% · closed Jan 25, 2025

    −$18K

  • 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Nov 14, 2024

    −$17K

  • Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

    No · entry 82% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    −$16K

  • Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    −$15K

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 40% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    −$5,750

  • Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Jan 21, 2025

    −$5,418

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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