Ba8f is down $2,167 in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$2,167
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $40K
- Profit this month
- +$2,985
- Win rate (last 91 closed)
- 67%
How Ba8f has traded
Across all 91 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 61 (67%) ended in profit and 30 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 73%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $40K together, the biggest is “Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?” (Yes) at 57% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$7,674

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 82% · closed Jan 16, 2026
+$5,892

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
No · entry 20% · closed Jan 16, 2026
+$5,105

Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 56% · closed Dec 11, 2025
+$1,897

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$1,642

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$1,571

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
No · entry 94% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,123

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
No · entry 97% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$1,095

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,081

Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
No · entry 23% · closed Jan 26, 2026
+$889
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$6,675

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
No · entry 40% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$3,551

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$2,214

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 12, 2026
−$1,514

VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Dec 19, 2025
−$956

Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$755

Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$492

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$228

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$214

Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 99% · closed Feb 24, 2026
−$210
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$646 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,630
+$30 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,167
−$1 P&L

Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,940
−$35 P&L

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 80%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$957
+$157 P&L

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$295
−$1 P&L

Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 57%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 96%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 99%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 99%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 99%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 98%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 98%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Bought Yes at 98%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Bought Yes at 98%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Sold No at 91%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
$900

Sold No at 69%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$59

Sold No at 69%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$3,670

Sold No at 69%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$100

Sold No at 69%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$45

Sold No at 69%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$172
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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