nonkenny90 has made $76K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,529 all time by profit, with 32M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$76K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 32M
- Portfolio value
- $455K
- Profit this month
- −$1,309
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 96%
How nonkenny90 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 192 (96%) ended in profit and 8 in a loss, for +$4,869 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 97%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $314K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 48% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Jan 1, 2025
+$134K

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?
No · entry 43% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$78K

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 56% · closed Apr 24, 2025
+$44K

Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
No · entry 62% · closed Apr 1, 2025
+$31K

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 81% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$29K

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Dec 7, 2025
+$28K

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$28K

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Mar 19, 2025
+$19K

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$17K

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Jul 30, 2025
+$14K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jun 28, 2025
−$97K

Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Sep 29, 2025
−$72K

Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Jul 25, 2025
−$56K

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
No · entry 41% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$47K

US military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 56% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$42K

Will Solana hit $275 by January 31, 2025?
No · entry 27% · closed Jan 19, 2025
−$39K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 89% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$33K

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$32K

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
No · entry 94% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$27K

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 74% · closed May 19, 2025
−$24K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 79%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$151K
+$2,686 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$56 P&L

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$2,809 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 87% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$1,001 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 99% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$1,521 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 75%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$3,292 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 87%, now 82% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$695 P&L

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$168 P&L

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes · entry 80%, now 79% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,263
−$117 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$6,563
+$568 P&L

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Yamal · entry 46%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,438
−$4,980 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,205
+$281 P&L

OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No · entry 76%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,643
+$1,251 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 65%, now 70% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,459
+$386 P&L

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 84%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,231
+$79 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 94%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 94%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 80%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 81%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 82%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 84%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 85%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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