caffe-paper
0x5a95…2ef9 · Joined September 29, 2026
caffe-paper has made $2,225 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #48,676 all time by profit, with 99K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,225
- All-time volume (shares)
- 99K
- Portfolio value
- $10K
- Profit this month
- +$3,000
- Win rate (last 84 closed)
- 54%
How caffe-paper has traded
Across all 84 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 45 (54%) ended in profit and 39 in a loss, for +$2,251 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 63 of the 84 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 8 largest open positions listed below, worth $10K together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 37% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$1,415
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$798
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 77% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$649
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$443
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$278
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$118
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
No · entry 60% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$25
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$12
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Yamal · entry 9% · closed Oct 27, 2026
−$488
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$307
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$236
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$173
Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$157
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$127
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$60
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Oct 27, 2026
−$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Up · entry 44% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$8
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 73%, now 77% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,760
+$154 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 66%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,337
−$67 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 74%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,470
−$10 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 52%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$750
+$230 P&L
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 68%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$735
+$55 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$675
+$45 P&L
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 62%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$394
−$59 P&L
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 68%, now 72% · ends Dec 18, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at 75%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Sold Yamal at 0.1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Bought Yamal at 0.6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Bought No at 74%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 68%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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