balthazar has made $1.3M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #140 all time by profit, with 78M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.3M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 78M
- Portfolio value
- $495K
- Profit this month
- +$1.7M
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 55%
How balthazar has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 109 (55%) ended in profit and 88 in a loss, for +$65K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$62K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$62K
Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 26, 2026
+$52K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 2% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$46K
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 32% · closed May 26, 2026
+$41K
Will MrBeast's video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 26, 2026
+$41K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$38K
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
No · entry 4% · closed May 22, 2026
+$37K
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$35K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 25% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$31K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 86% · closed May 26, 2026
−$62K
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?
Yes · entry 50% · closed May 26, 2026
−$48K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 53% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$46K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
No · entry 51% · closed May 26, 2026
−$43K
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
No · entry 67% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$41K
Will MrBeast's video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1?
No · entry 50% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$39K
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed May 12, 2026
−$28K
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed May 13, 2026
−$27K
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$26K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$22K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought No at 2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 25?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 3%
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 3%
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 83%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 83%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 87%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes at 8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 44%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Bought No at 54%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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