jadebasilisk
0x59db…c353 · Joined November 6, 2024
jadebasilisk has made $40K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,437 all time by profit, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$40K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $21K
- Profit this month
- −$173
- Win rate (last 180 closed)
- 55%
How jadebasilisk has traded
Across all 180 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 99 (55%) ended in profit and 81 in a loss, for +$40K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 49%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $21K together, the biggest is “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?” (Yes) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
No · entry 41% · closed Aug 3, 2025
+$13K
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jul 6, 2025
+$8,481
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$6,286
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jul 6, 2025
+$5,678
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
No · entry 91% · closed Nov 16, 2024
+$3,525
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$3,471
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$2,664
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
No · entry 88% · closed Jun 26, 2026
+$2,492
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
No · entry 63% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$1,842
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,791
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$7,816
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
No · entry 11% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$2,346
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
No · entry 57% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$1,939
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$1,352
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jul 1, 2025
−$1,068
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Feb 26, 2026
−$1,043
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
No · entry 65% · closed Jun 26, 2026
−$975
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Feb 12, 2025
−$965
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 89% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$898
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 26, 2026
−$844
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 93% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,720
+$872 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No · entry 71%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,707
+$501 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 45%, now 44% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,963
−$64 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
No · entry 63%, now 77% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,960
+$353 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,927
+$267 P&L
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
No · entry 61%, now 89% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,338
+$423 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 37%, now 37% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,298
−$14 P&L
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 3%, now 3% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,220
−$158 P&L
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,198
+$298 P&L
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 1%, now 4% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$956
+$690 P&L
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes · entry 58%, now 57% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$862
−$8 P&L
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 2%, now 2% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$780
+$115 P&L
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 1.0%, now 0.4% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$587
−$1,067 P&L
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes · entry 9%, now 8% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$400
−$50 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
No · entry 60%, now 72% · ends Mar 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$193
+$32 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 61%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
Bought No at 65%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
Bought No at 58%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
Bought No at 65%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
Bought No at 43%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 43%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 43%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 58%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Bought No at 35%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 35%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 35%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 35%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Kenneth Walker III finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will Kenneth Walker III win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
Bought Yes at 58%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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