timetowander has made $676K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #293 all time by profit, with 118M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$676K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 118M
- Portfolio value
- $9,137
- Profit this month
- +$631K
- Win rate (last 191 closed)
- 58%
How timetowander has traded
Across the 191 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 110 (58%) ended in profit and 81 in a loss, for +$6.5M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $8,948 together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 49% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 13% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$4.7M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$1.4M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 6% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$909K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 23% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$496K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$294K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 77% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$224K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No · entry 34% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$206K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$190K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
No · entry 75% · closed May 9, 2026
+$143K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 26% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$124K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$2.0M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$142K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$140K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
No · entry 25% · closed May 9, 2026
−$109K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes · entry 19% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$58K
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
No · entry 24% · closed Apr 13, 2026
−$42K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$36K
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$8,132
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$8,129
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$7,500
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 37%, now 39% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,369
+$171 P&L
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,252
+$35 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes · entry 12%, now 0.9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$747
−$9,662 P&L
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?
Yes · entry 16%, now 28% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$699
+$294 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes · entry 17%, now 0.1% · ended Nov 4, 2026
$467
−$77K P&L
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?
Yes · entry 22%, now 5% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$312
−$1,081 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 16%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$308
−$32K P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 17%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$297
−$100K P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 7%, now 0.3% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$250
−$6,687 P&L
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes · entry 5%, now 5% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 25?
Yes · entry 6%, now 2% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$54
−$124 P&L
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$43
−$106 P&L
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?
Yes · entry 2%, now 0.8% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31
−$43 P&L
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes · entry 5%, now 2% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25
−$45 P&L
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$23
−$1,246 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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