marels has made $2,294 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #47,353 all time by profit, with 224K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jun 15, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2,294
- All-time volume (shares)
- 224K
- Portfolio value
- $693
- Profit this month
- +$106
- Win rate (last 176 closed)
- 55%
How marels has traded
Across the 176 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 97 (55%) ended in profit and 79 in a loss, for +$2,532 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $692 together, the biggest is “Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 94% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)
Yes · entry 45% · closed Mar 27, 2026
+$948
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Apr 12, 2026
+$463
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No · entry 60% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$453
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 38% · closed Mar 17, 2026
+$340
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$334
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
SpaceX · entry 76% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$308
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Feb 17, 2026
+$230
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Under · entry 71% · closed Mar 17, 2026
+$181
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Mar 13, 2026
+$174
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5
Over · entry 71% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$167
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
No · entry 87% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$361
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Mar 30, 2026
−$218
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$210
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
No · entry 73% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$170
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$170
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$169
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
No · entry 49% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$166
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Over · entry 24% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$144
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?
No · entry 84% · closed Feb 22, 2026
−$110
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$93
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 25%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$653
+$473 P&L
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 6% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$39
−$124 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 19%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
$67
Sold Yes at 19%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
$73
Sold No at 53%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
$405
Sold No at 16%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
$27
Sold No at 16%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
$54
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$41
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$926
Sold Yes at 22%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
$2
Sold No at 81%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?
$313
Sold No at 81%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?
$319
Sold Yes at 15%
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
$90
Bought No at 84%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?
$655
Bought Yes at 14%
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
$84
Bought No at 49%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
$247
Bought No at 80%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
$615
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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