imjustalarp
0x57e4…835e · Joined November 17, 2025
imjustalarp has made $24K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,864 all time by profit, with 2.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$24K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.6M
- Portfolio value
- $53K
- Profit this month
- −$8,636
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 53%
How imjustalarp has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 105 (53%) ended in profit and 95 in a loss, for −$40K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $39K together, the biggest is “Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?” (Yes) at 11% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 66% · closed Nov 29, 2025
+$16K

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
No · entry 42% · closed Nov 23, 2025
+$9,056

Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$5,594

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 66% · closed Mar 25, 2026
+$5,409

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$5,388

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No · entry 39% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$4,979

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
No · entry 78% · closed Nov 23, 2025
+$4,194

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,132

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$3,925

Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 67% · closed Nov 29, 2025
+$3,878
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
No · entry 12% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$16K

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$8,262

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
No · entry 73% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$7,301

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · entry 61% · closed Jul 16, 2026
−$6,120

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jul 11, 2026
−$5,583

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
No · entry 75% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$5,220

Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jul 26, 2026
−$5,125

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
No · entry 65% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$5,069

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$4,915

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Yes · entry 79% · closed May 17, 2026
−$4,805
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 63%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,404
+$523 P&L

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 51%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,975
+$357 P&L

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 70%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,503
+$73 P&L

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 83%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,324
+$502 P&L

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,957
+$13 P&L

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 85%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,691
+$104 P&L

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 66%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,602
+$292 P&L

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 85%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,416
+$309 P&L

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 90%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,168
+$170 P&L

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 73%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,148
+$536 P&L

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 80%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,035
+$199 P&L

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 72%, now 31% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,997
−$2,658 P&L

Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
No · entry 67%, now 63% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,694
−$118 P&L

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,657
+$63 P&L

Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch
Yes · entry 75%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,650
+$150 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 71%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 87%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 87%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Bought T1 at 57%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Sold Yes at 71%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 87%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 93%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 71%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 87%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 93%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 93%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Bought No at 63%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 55%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 71%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Sold Yes at 87%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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