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geowatch

0x5645…5d21 · Joined March 3, 2026

#23,659 all time#10,147 this monthView on Polymarket

geowatch has made $5,555 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #23,659 all time by profit, with 220K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$5,555
All-time volume (shares)
220K
Portfolio value
$21K
Profit this month
+$640
Win rate (last 200 closed)
87%

How geowatch has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 173 (87%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for +$7,461 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 78%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $20K together, the biggest is “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

    No · entry 88% · closed May 1, 2026

    +$1,310

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

    No · entry 97% · closed Aug 1, 2026

    +$474

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

    No · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$411

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

    No · entry 93% · closed Jun 1, 2026

    +$406

  • Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

    No · entry 89% · closed May 8, 2026

    +$351

  • US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

    No · entry 73% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$347

  • US forces enter Iran by March 31?

    No · entry 83% · closed Apr 5, 2026

    +$339

  • Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?

    Yes · entry 78% · closed Sep 21, 2026

    +$283

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

    No · entry 95% · closed Apr 16, 2026

    +$270

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

    No · entry 79% · closed Jun 2, 2026

    +$263

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?

    Yes · entry 81% · closed Oct 1, 2026

    −$707

  • US forces enter Iran by April 30?

    No · entry 43% · closed Apr 9, 2026

    −$314

  • Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Mar 31, 2026

    −$188

  • Anthropic IPO before 2027?

    Yes · entry 78% · closed Oct 13, 2026

    −$159

  • Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?

    Yes · entry 79% · closed Mar 19, 2026

    −$153

  • Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

    No · entry 69% · closed May 17, 2026

    −$142

  • Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    −$109

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Up · entry 80% · closed Oct 17, 2026

    −$101

  • Iran leadership change by April 30?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$67

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

    Yes · entry 67% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$61

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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