StarryPath has made $87K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,222 all time by profit, with 243M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$87K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 243M
- Portfolio value
- $66
- Profit this month
- +$186K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 28%
How StarryPath has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 56 (28%) ended in profit and 143 in a loss, for +$92K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 28%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 98 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $66 together, the biggest is “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 19% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 7% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$124K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 17% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$57K
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Apr 13, 2025
+$45K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 9% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$34K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$29K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$24K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$23K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No · entry 33% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$21K
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 63% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$16K
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 39% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$14K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$44K
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 13, 2025
−$42K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 94% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$38K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$25K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$24K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$24K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 40% · closed Sep 17, 2025
−$19K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$19K
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 85% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$13K
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No · entry 31% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$13K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13
−$1,700 P&L
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7
−$391 P&L
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$5
−$250 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$4
−$1,709 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 94%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought No at 92%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 31%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought No at 70%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 84%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 17%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 96%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought Yes at 4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 39%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 62%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.