Informal-Index-Discovery
0x53ec…df91 · Joined June 9, 2023
Informal-Index-Discovery is down $8,666 in realized results on Polymarket, with 13M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$8,666
- All-time volume (shares)
- 13M
- Portfolio value
- $92K
- Profit this month
- +$10K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 37%
How Informal-Index-Discovery has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 73 (37%) ended in profit and 125 in a loss, for −$286K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 35%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 148 of the 198 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $72K together, the biggest is “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes) at 72% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 23, 2025
+$37K
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
No · entry 40% · closed Jul 27, 2026
+$30K
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Apr 28, 2026
+$26K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$21K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$19K
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Yes · entry 51% · closed May 18, 2026
+$16K
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Feb 10, 2025
+$14K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
No · entry 48% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$12K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 28% · closed May 30, 2026
+$11K
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
Yes · entry 24% · closed May 1, 2025
+$10K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Mexico · entry 48% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$206K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 41% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$74K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 34% · closed May 31, 2026
−$26K
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$12K
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Yes · entry 34% · closed May 27, 2026
−$12K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 7, 2026
−$10K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Yes · entry 66% · closed May 5, 2026
−$9,900
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 20, 2025
−$9,861
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$8,626
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 63% · closed Nov 12, 2024
−$7,769
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 39%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$52K
+$24K P&L
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
No · entry 35%, now 97% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,374
+$2,155 P&L
Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Yes · entry 39%, now 40% · ends Dec 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,134
+$38 P&L
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
No · entry 30%, now 42% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,876
+$548 P&L
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?
No · entry 77%, now 85% · ends Jan 18, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,760
+$160 P&L
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Yes · entry 13%, now 15% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,756
+$282 P&L
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes · entry 17%, now 14% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,588
−$380 P&L
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
No · entry 59%, now 92% · ends Jan 18, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,507
+$527 P&L
Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
No · entry 65%, now 53% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,140
−$271 P&L
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?
Yes · entry 42%, now 41% · ends Jan 18, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,006
−$25 P&L
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 5%, now 5% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$986
−$36 P&L
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Yes · entry 62%, now 52% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$838
−$154 P&L
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?
Yes · entry 53%, now 72% · ends Jan 18, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$820
+$213 P&L
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Yes · entry 62%, now 69% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$699
+$67 P&L
Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
No · entry 67%, now 69% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$685
+$15 P&L
Recent trades
Bought U 9.5 at 36%
Will the New England Patriots win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
Bought Yes at 50%
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Bought Yes at 50%
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Bought Yes at 10%
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
Sold No at 91%
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
Bought Yes at 37%
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
Bought Yes at 48%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought Yes at 32%
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought No at 44%
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Bought No at 34%
Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought Yes at 18%
Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Bought No at 27%
Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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