
ponczyk is down $71K in realized results on Polymarket, with 8.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$71K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.5M
- Portfolio value
- $33K
- Profit this month
- −$6,121
- Win rate (last 187 closed)
- 56%
How ponczyk has traded
Across the 187 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 104 (56%) ended in profit and 83 in a loss, for −$61K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 66%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 125 of the 187 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $23K together, the biggest is “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?” (No) at 9% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider
Elena Rybakina · entry 82% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$10K

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
Aryna Sabalenka · entry 79% · closed Apr 27, 2026
+$3,429

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev · entry 74% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$2,910

76ers vs. Spurs
Spurs · entry 91% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$2,889

Netanyahu out by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$2,483

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Timberwolves · entry 30% · closed Apr 18, 2026
+$2,139

Nuggets vs. Spurs
Nuggets · entry 97% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$1,749

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva · entry 87% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$1,689

Hornets vs. Magic
Magic · entry 98% · closed Apr 18, 2026
+$1,287

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
Aryna Sabalenka · entry 27% · closed Apr 28, 2026
+$1,253
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
Elena Rybakina · entry 79% · closed Apr 17, 2026
−$22K

Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang
Hailey Baptiste · entry 65% · closed May 27, 2026
−$18K

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
KT Rolster · entry 24% · closed May 22, 2026
−$17K

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays · entry 56% · closed Jul 18, 2026
−$13K

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens · entry 81% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$9,084

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$6,651

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
No · entry 56% · closed Jul 18, 2026
−$6,238

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
Cavaliers · entry 89% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$4,173

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
Burnley FC · entry 51% · closed May 18, 2026
−$3,263

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$2,946
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,144
+$120 P&L

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,129
−$8 P&L

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,065
+$4 P&L

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,013
−$3 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,981
−$45 P&L

Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,979
−$31 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,932
−$108 P&L

Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,078
−$6 P&L

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,073
+$1 P&L

Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,069
+$12 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,065
+$15 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,062
+$12 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,060
−$8 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,056
−$17 P&L

Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,049
+$13 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Bought No at 98%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?

Bought No at 95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?

Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?

Bought No at 97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
Bought No at 96%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Bought No at 95%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Bought No at 97%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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