Fancyi is down $66K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$66K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.1M
- Portfolio value
- $21K
- Profit this month
- +$282
- Win rate (last 86 closed)
- 69%
How Fancyi has traded
Across all 86 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 59 (69%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for +$53K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $21K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 77% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$8,350

Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Yes · entry 77% · closed May 13, 2026
+$5,830

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$5,321

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed May 1, 2026
+$4,169

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Feb 21, 2026
+$4,021

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Feb 7, 2026
+$3,421

Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Yes · entry 76% · closed May 13, 2026
+$3,225

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
No · entry 72% · closed Feb 20, 2026
+$3,104

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 77% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$2,993

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Feb 17, 2026
+$2,259
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$1,323

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Feb 21, 2026
−$1,016

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$753

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$451

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$382

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 65% · closed May 1, 2026
−$330

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
No · entry 72% · closed May 1, 2026
−$306

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$251

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes · entry 44% · closed May 1, 2026
−$184

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 19% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$95
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 65%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,041
+$40 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 64%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,937
+$43 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 67%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,594
−$6 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,875
−$45 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,137
−$31 P&L

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 18%, now 19% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$504
+$24 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 14% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$490
+$40 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 43%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$483
−$17 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 39%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 20%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 75%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 41%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 15%, now 18% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 67%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 62%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 15%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 21%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 24%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 66%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Sold Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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