0x4e25…d7a7 has made $252K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #831 all time by profit, with 69M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jun 12, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$252K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 69M
- Portfolio value
- $289K
- Profit this month
- −$27K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 51%
How 0x4e25…d7a7 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 102 (51%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for +$831 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $174K together, the biggest is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$82K
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Pacers · entry 23% · closed May 14, 2025
+$69K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$54K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 7, 2025
+$54K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 10% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$53K
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 2% · closed May 4, 2025
+$42K
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Dec 11, 2025
+$41K
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Nov 9, 2025
+$39K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Apr 9, 2026
+$34K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jun 23, 2025
+$34K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 17, 2025
−$93K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 17, 2025
−$67K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed May 7, 2025
−$55K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$54K
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
No · entry 95% · closed May 4, 2025
−$41K
Phillies vs. Reds
Phillies · entry 53% · closed Aug 14, 2025
−$40K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
No · entry 98% · closed Sep 17, 2025
−$34K
Pacers vs. Thunder
Pacers · entry 18% · closed Jun 9, 2025
−$32K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$32K
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
No · entry 98% · closed May 15, 2025
−$32K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$4,117 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 55%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$6,541 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$2,649 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 16%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$12K P&L
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,989 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 21%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$8,900 P&L
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No · entry 86%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,431 P&L
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes · entry 85%, now 100% · market ended
$8,167
+$1,228 P&L
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 100% · ended Apr 1, 2027
$8,006
+$1,380 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 26%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,973
+$5,853 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 37%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,532
−$6,229 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,314
+$1,287 P&L
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No · entry 87%, now 100% · ended Aug 18, 2026
$5,864
+$789 P&L
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,770
+$512 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 64%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,443
+$1,883 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
$1
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$1
Bought No at 97%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$16
Bought Yes at 34%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
$22
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$11
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$12
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$6
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$2
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$2
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$2
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$4
Bought Yes at 11%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$2
Bought No at 92%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$248
Bought No at 92%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$497
Bought No at 97%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
$130
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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