OilWizard is down $7,049 in realized results on Polymarket, with 455K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$7,049
- All-time volume (shares)
- 455K
- Portfolio value
- $3,817
- Profit this month
- −$7,509
- Win rate (last 174 closed)
- 53%
How OilWizard has traded
Across all 174 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 92 (53%) ended in profit and 82 in a loss, for +$8,091 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 37%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $3,817 together, the biggest is “Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 59% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$1,433

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Yes · entry 16% · closed May 7, 2026
+$954

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
No · entry 40% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$711

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No · entry 59% · closed May 23, 2026
+$636

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$589

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed May 9, 2026
+$542

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 15% · closed May 27, 2026
+$540

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$506

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 72% · closed May 12, 2026
+$503

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$467
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$1,314

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$1,039

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
No · entry 70% · closed Jun 6, 2026
−$557

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Apr 28, 2026
−$450

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 61% · closed Apr 17, 2026
−$449

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$373

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Yes · entry 11% · closed May 25, 2026
−$337

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 38% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$311

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
No · entry 59% · closed Jun 6, 2026
−$272

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$235
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,235
+$15 P&L

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Yes · entry 47%, now 38% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$526
−$119 P&L

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 7%, now 10% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$524
+$186 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 36% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$182
−$115 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 33% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$163
−$28 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 28%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$163
−$538 P&L

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 1%, now 0.3% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26
−$117 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 11%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 38%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 30%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 43%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 60%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 58%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 28%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Sold Yes at 18%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 16%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 70%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Sold Yes at 44%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 15%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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