chickenchicken
0x4d28…8ac6 · Joined June 28, 2024
chickenchicken is down $31 in realized results on Polymarket, with 13K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$31
- All-time volume (shares)
- 13K
- Portfolio value
- $68
- Profit this month
- −$2
- Win rate (last 43 closed)
- 51%
How chickenchicken has traded
Across all 43 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 22 (51%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for −$30 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 74%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $68 together, the biggest is “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” (No) at 73% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?
Down · entry 50% · closed Aug 15, 2026
+$350
Will someone else be inaugurated?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 21, 2025
+$10
Bengals vs. Steelers
Bengals · entry 55% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$5
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Dec 23, 2024
+$2
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
No · entry 80% · closed Jan 2, 2025
+$1
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
No · entry 77% · closed Nov 7, 2025
+$1
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 23, 2026
+$1
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?
No · entry 92% · closed Aug 25, 2024
+$1
Broncos vs. Saints
Broncos · entry 54% · closed Dec 23, 2024
+$1
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers
Lakers · entry 73% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 24?
Up · entry 50% · closed Aug 15, 2026
−$350
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$22
Southampton wins the Premier League?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 25, 2025
−$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$3
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$3
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
No · entry 84% · closed Nov 7, 2025
−$3
Panthers vs. Falcons
Falcons · entry 79% · closed Feb 24, 2025
−$3
Bears vs. Packers
Packers · entry 83% · closed Feb 24, 2025
−$3
Nets vs. Bucks
Bucks · entry 88% · closed Feb 24, 2025
−$3
Scorigami in NFL Week 16?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Jan 2, 2025
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 72%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 68% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Dec 31, 2026
$3
+$0 P&L
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Dec 31, 2026
$3
+$0 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Bought Yes at 78%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Sold No at >99%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought at 71%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season AND LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs Mental Rush (BO5) - Equal eSports Cup Playoffs
$1
Bought No at >99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?
$200
Bought Yes at 64%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
$3
Bought No at 98%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$3
Bought No at 98%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$3
Bought No at 96%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$3
Sold No at >99%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$1,332
Bought No at >99%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$1,333
Bought No at 92%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
$22
Bought No at 27%
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
$1
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