Lufelola
0x4a69…228f · Joined August 24, 2025
Lufelola is down $6,545 in realized results on Polymarket, with 120K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$6,545
- All-time volume (shares)
- 120K
- Portfolio value
- $10K
- Profit this month
- −$4,410
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 80%
How Lufelola has traded
Across all 194 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 156 (80%) ended in profit and 38 in a loss, for −$1,481 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $10K together, the biggest is “Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?” (Yamal) at 51% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$919
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$147
Will Alessandro Bastoni play for Inter Milan next?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Aug 31, 2026
+$125
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$97
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 2, 2026
+$96
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
No · entry 86% · closed Jun 25, 2026
+$94
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$90
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up · entry 55% · closed Sep 14, 2025
+$90
Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Aug 31, 2026
+$83
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Oct 25, 2025
+$82
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$1,635
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 78% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$1,530
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$765
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 16% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$623
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 15, 2026
−$364
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$302
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 2, 2026
−$300
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
No · entry 61% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$282
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$239
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$150
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Yamal · entry 37%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,188
−$2,736 P&L
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 73%, now 69% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,902
−$105 P&L
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 68%, now 42% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,163
−$756 P&L
Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?
Kvaratskhelia · entry 72%, now 69% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$770
−$37 P&L
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 18%, now 10% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$370
−$338 P&L
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 70%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$194
−$21 P&L
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 14%, now 15% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$170
+$16 P&L
Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher?
Haaland · entry 63%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$123
+$33 P&L
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 66%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$116
+$15 P&L
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 60% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 26%, now 22% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 21%, now 20% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 46%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
Bought Yes at 21%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Sold Yes at 1%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Bought No at 26%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yamal at 28%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Bought Yes at 50%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
Sold No at 1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Sold Yes at 0.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought Yes at 3%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Bought No at 38%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
Bought Yes at 13%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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