troim has made $93K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,083 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$93K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 30M
- Portfolio value
- $82K
- Profit this month
- +$21K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 86%
How troim has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 172 (86%) ended in profit and 28 in a loss, for +$145K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $42K together, the biggest is “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?” (Yes) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$32K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$19K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$19K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$15K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$14K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Apr 14, 2026
+$13K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$10K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$10K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Apr 14, 2026
+$9,706
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$9,443
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 17% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$9,448
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
No · entry 37% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$8,073
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 16% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$6,400
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$5,343
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$4,260
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
No · entry 13% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$4,147
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
No · entry 26% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$3,890
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
No · entry 13% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$3,835
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
No · entry 11% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$3,278
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$2,826
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$1,701 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,080
+$30 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 66%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,940
+$300 P&L
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 18%, now 69% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,740
+$2,005 P&L
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
No · entry 37%, now 26% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,605
−$1,105 P&L
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 43%, now 65% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,600
+$881 P&L
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
No · entry 39%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,475
+$1,318 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No · entry 19%, now 18% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,980
−$160 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 69%, now 66% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,965
−$97 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 48% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,900
−$40 P&L
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,710
+$230 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,510
−$70 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No · entry 51%, now 74% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,470
+$450 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No · entry 27%, now 35% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,400
+$300 P&L
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 28%, now 28% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,375
−$35 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 23%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Bought No at 23%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Bought No at 23%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Bought No at 23%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 58%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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