alex20011 has made $235K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #892 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$235K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $628
- Profit this month
- +$829K
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 54%
How alex20011 has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 106 (54%) ended in profit and 90 in a loss, for +$95K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $201 together, the biggest is “Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” (Yes) at 9% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 22% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$37K
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$24K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 29% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$13K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 33% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$11K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 70% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$10K
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 36% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$10K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 78% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$10K
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$9,456
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 30% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$8,739
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 90% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$7,488
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$8,463
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$7,881
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$3,096
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$2,276
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$2,155
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$2,107
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$1,945
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$1,918
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$1,872
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$1,738
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$18
−$926 P&L
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$18
−$926 P&L
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 3%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 28, 2026
$18
−$926 P&L
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 27, 2026
$12
−$257 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Bought No at 51%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?
Sold Yes at 0.5%
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 57%
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 89%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 85%
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 87%
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 90%
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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