
TradeDeficitArchitect
0x477f…19aa · Joined October 29, 2020
TradeDeficitArchitect has made $188K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,113 all time by profit, with 8.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$188K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.9M
- Portfolio value
- $163K
- Profit this month
- +$3,910
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 50%
How TradeDeficitArchitect has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (50%) ended in profit and 100 in a loss, for −$7,200 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $124K together, the biggest is “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Feb 12, 2026
+$21K

Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
No · entry 15% · closed Sep 28, 2024
+$14K

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jun 22, 2025
+$11K

Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?
No · entry 11% · closed Oct 11, 2024
+$11K

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Dec 20, 2024
+$9,293

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Oct 9, 2024
+$8,583

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Dec 20, 2024
+$7,113

Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Nov 9, 2024
+$7,082

Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Oct 12, 2024
+$5,878

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Oct 21, 2025
+$5,457
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 55% · closed May 28, 2025
−$13K

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$10K

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
No · entry 0% · closed Feb 19, 2021
−$9,741

Will Trump say "trans" during his Wisconsin speech?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Sep 29, 2024
−$9,324

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$7,880

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
No · entry 24% · closed Jan 23, 2025
−$7,800
Will the Rockets or the Hornets win their February 8th matchup?
Rockets · entry 84% · closed Feb 9, 2021
−$6,917
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021?
No · entry 47% · closed Jun 2, 2021
−$6,565

Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Nov 5, 2024
−$5,387

Clermont Foot 63 vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 49% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$5,299
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 88% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$11K P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 84%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$1,750 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,727 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 78%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,250
+$450 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 70%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,840
+$1,852 P&L

Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
No · entry 43%, now 64% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,774
+$2,174 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 68%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,566
+$1,765 P&L

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,024
+$349 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,778
−$77 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 81% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,148
−$1 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,041
+$1,307 P&L

Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,795
+$545 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 48%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,061
+$1,869 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,640
−$193 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,607
+$166 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 11%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Bought Yes at 11%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 21%
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Bought No at 94%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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