schizohedgehog
0x4755…4158 · Joined January 10, 2026
schizohedgehog has made $164K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,250 all time by profit, with 7.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$164K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.3M
- Portfolio value
- $326K
- Profit this month
- +$1,148
- Win rate (last 65 closed)
- 80%
How schizohedgehog has traded
Across all 65 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 52 (80%) ended in profit and 13 in a loss, for +$165K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 85%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $326K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 48% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
No · entry 54% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$35K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$30K

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 89% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$24K

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$20K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$10K

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Yes · entry 22% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$8,452

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$7,066

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$6,710

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$4,879

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 90% · closed Sep 18, 2026
+$4,635
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$13K

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Aug 25, 2026
−$7,422

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Aug 22, 2026
−$5,778

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$3,843

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
No · entry 97% · closed May 1, 2026
−$3,030

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$2,911

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$2,750

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$2,426

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$2,222

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 57% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$1,232
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 89%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$155K
+$5,338 P&L

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102K
+$1,918 P&L

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$35K
+$3,208 P&L

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 43% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$5,037 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 45% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,386
−$2,787 P&L

Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?
No · entry 66%, now 96% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,171
+$1,929 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 81%, now 82% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,738
+$44 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 52%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,543
−$556 P&L

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$413
+$41 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 97%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 97%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Bought No at 81%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 81%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 81%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Sold No at 97%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 97%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 43%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Sold No at 46%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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