QMG-MACRO
0x4755…4338 · Joined March 16, 2026
QMG-MACRO is down $14K in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$14K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $57K
- Profit this month
- −$2,895
- Win rate (last 104 closed)
- 78%
How QMG-MACRO has traded
Across all 104 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 81 (78%) ended in profit and 23 in a loss, for −$5,703 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 83%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 56 of the 104 are about economy and the Fed, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $57K together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 53% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$40K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
No · entry 0.6% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$4,937
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Jun 7, 2026
+$1,724
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$1,404
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$1,160
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$467
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$372
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 24, 2026
+$367
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$350
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$256
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$9,993
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$9,312
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$8,633
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$7,012
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$5,851
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$4,481
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$3,956
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$2,789
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$1,653
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No · entry 91% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$1,176
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30K
+$24K P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$35 P&L
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 27%, now 97% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,341
+$3,856 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,803
+$3 P&L
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 29, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,047
+$4 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now 6% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,760
−$4,640 P&L
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?
No · entry 94%, now 90% · ends Feb 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,505
−$63 P&L
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?
No · entry 88%, now 86% · ends Apr 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$780
−$18 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$498
−$0 P&L
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now 2% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$103
−$898 P&L
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 30, 2026
$2
−$867 P&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20%, now <0.1% · ended Oct 29, 2026
$1
−$399 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 97%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at >99%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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