geoffmar is down $12K in realized results on Polymarket, with 195K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$12K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 195K
- Portfolio value
- $11K
- Profit this month
- −$948
- Win rate (last 5 closed)
- 40%
How geoffmar has traded
Across all 5 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 2 (40%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for +$1,951 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 22%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 5 of the 5 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $11K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 63% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 39% · closed May 21, 2026
+$2,703

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 8% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$61
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$463

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 39% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$248

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
No · entry 13% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$102
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,134
−$61 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 19% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,526
−$24 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 34%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$664
−$47 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 32%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$620
−$10 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 29%, now 31% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$233
+$8 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 23%, now 18% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$78
−$22 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 28%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 28%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 18%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 29%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 36%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 29%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 20%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 33%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 35%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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