Nobody23041 has made $11K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #14,156 all time by profit, with 4.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$11K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.4M
- Portfolio value
- $11K
- Profit this month
- +$1,274
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 76%
How Nobody23041 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 152 (76%) ended in profit and 48 in a loss, for −$1,585 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $8,981 together, the biggest is “Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” (Yes) at 13% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
No · entry <0.1% · closed Nov 16, 2022
+$8,150

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Feb 9, 2023
+$7,529

Trump sentenced to no prison time?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Nov 5, 2024
+$3,910

Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 21, 2022
+$3,021

Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Yes · entry 67% · closed May 29, 2025
+$2,417

Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Nov 18, 2022
+$2,399

Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Nov 16, 2022
+$2,291

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
No · entry 91% · closed Aug 1, 2024
+$2,135

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
Yes · entry 1.0% · closed Apr 4, 2023
+$2,042

Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?
No · entry 10% · closed Nov 15, 2022
+$2,031
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 27, 2022
−$7,316

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
No · entry 67% · closed Feb 14, 2024
−$6,846

Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend?
No · entry 67% · closed Aug 6, 2023
−$6,278

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 69% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$5,788

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$5,658

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Yes · entry 83% · closed May 31, 2026
−$5,459

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Nov 13, 2024
−$4,913

Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
Republican · entry 85% · closed Nov 19, 2022
−$3,215

US military action against Iran by Sunday?
No · entry 77% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$3,037

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
No · entry 69% · closed Dec 7, 2024
−$2,671
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 81%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,207
+$208 P&L

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 15%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$964
−$321 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$930
+$80 P&L

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?
Yes · entry 74%, now 71% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$675
−$31 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$615
+$63 P&L

Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?
Yes · entry 79%, now 88% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$564
+$54 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 83%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$555
+$57 P&L

Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?
No · entry 82%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$552
+$87 P&L

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?
Yes · entry 81%, now 96% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$541
+$85 P&L

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No · entry 72%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$532
+$64 P&L

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No · entry 66%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$438
+$108 P&L

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes · entry 54%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$423
+$125 P&L

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
No · entry 65%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$336
+$80 P&L

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 37%, now 40% · market ended
$336
+$21 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 50%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$313
−$272 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 92%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 81%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 62%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 62%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 66%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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