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Warren-Buffett

Warren-Buffett

0x4478…02a4 · Joined October 1, 2025

#1,566 all time#668,710 this monthView on Polymarket

Warren-Buffett has made $127K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,566 all time by profit, with 30M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$127K
All-time volume (shares)
30M
Portfolio value
$86K
Profit this month
−$12K
Win rate (last 197 closed)
64%

How Warren-Buffett has traded

Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (64%) ended in profit and 70 in a loss, for −$52K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $61K together, the biggest is “China x Philippines military clash before 2027?” (No) at 19% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$125K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.2% · closed May 16, 2026

    +$21K

  • Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

    Yes · entry 64% · closed Apr 25, 2026

    +$18K

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$10K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    Yes · entry 19% · closed Apr 8, 2026

    +$9,596

  • Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

    Yes · entry 57% · closed Apr 25, 2026

    +$9,498

  • US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

    No · entry 12% · closed Apr 22, 2026

    +$8,255

  • US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

    Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 15, 2026

    +$7,930

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 35% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$7,149

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

    Yes · entry 4% · closed May 24, 2026

    +$6,815

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Jun 2, 2026

    −$28K

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$20K

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$19K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 2% · closed May 3, 2026

    −$11K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

    Yes · entry 11% · closed Apr 23, 2026

    −$10K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed May 27, 2026

    −$9,735

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.4% · closed May 14, 2026

    −$8,364

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed May 12, 2026

    −$8,339

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

    Yes · entry 0.2% · closed May 13, 2026

    −$8,261

  • Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 13, 2026

    −$7,922

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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