awfully is down $16K in realized results on Polymarket, with 147K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 147K
- Portfolio value
- $15K
- Profit this month
- −$341
- Win rate (last 8 closed)
- 63%
How awfully has traded
Across all 8 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 5 (63%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for −$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 46%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 6 of the 8 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 67% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Up · entry 11% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$746
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Down · entry 30% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$491
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Down · entry 48% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$128
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Down · entry 85% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Up · entry 86% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$12
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Argentina · entry 43% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$17K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Up · entry 7% · closed Jul 17, 2026
−$107
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Spain · entry 61% · closed Jul 19, 2026
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,993
−$7 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 30%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,017
+$17 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 30%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Sold Argentina at 7%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$3,405
Sold Spain at 60%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$5
Bought Spain at 60%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$5
Bought Argentina at 42%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$5,000
Bought Argentina at 42%
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
$15K
Sold Up at 91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
$857
Bought Up at 11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
$100
Bought Up at 9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
$32
Bought Up at 5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
$68
Sold Down at 99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
$694
Bought Down at 22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
$100
Bought Down at 39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
$100
Bought Down at 28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
$13
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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