RBax has made $87K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,233 all time by profit, with 2.9M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$87K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.9M
- Portfolio value
- $21K
- Profit this month
- −$6,029
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 20%
How RBax has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 39 (20%) ended in profit and 159 in a loss, for +$8,467 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 122 of the 198 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 7 largest open positions listed below, worth $21K together, the biggest is “Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?” (Yes) at 51% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$19K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5
Under · entry 42% · closed Jan 20, 2026
+$10K
Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 130.5
Under · entry 47% · closed Jan 16, 2026
+$7,185
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$7,000
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 145.5
Under · entry 51% · closed Jan 11, 2026
+$6,812
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Under · entry 47% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$5,986
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5
Under · entry 47% · closed Jan 19, 2026
+$5,852
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Belgium · entry 46% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$5,500
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
No · entry 47% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$5,300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
No · entry 33% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$5,034
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-16.5)
UTSA Roadrunners · entry 53% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$9,021
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 167.5
Over · entry 45% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$8,883
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?
No · entry 50% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$6,250
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5
Under · entry 48% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$5,787
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)
Columbia Lions · entry 49% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$5,370
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$5,120
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?
No · entry 56% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$4,480
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5
Under · entry 48% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$4,167
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$4,085
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 139.5
Over · entry 47% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$3,985
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 38%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$11K
+$3,180 P&L
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,961
+$43 P&L
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,087
+$57 P&L
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 5%, now 5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,499
+$94 P&L
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 1%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,275
+$575 P&L
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 4%, now 5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$582
+$91 P&L
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · entry 0.4%, now 0.3% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$121
−$84 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?
Bought No at 38%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Bought No at 38%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Bought No at 38%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Bought No at 38%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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