Serega38 has made $41K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,335 all time by profit, with 662K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$41K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 662K
- Portfolio value
- $4,114
- Profit this month
- −$13K
- Win rate (last 152 closed)
- 59%
How Serega38 has traded
Across all 152 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 90 (59%) ended in profit and 62 in a loss, for +$41K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 69 of the 152 are about crypto, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $4,114 together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 63% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Thunder vs. Pistons
Pistons · entry 78% · closed Feb 26, 2026
+$13K

Thunder vs. Bulls
Thunder · entry 78% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$12K

Cavaliers vs. Nets
Cavaliers · entry 83% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$11K

Grizzlies vs. Heat
Heat · entry 82% · closed Feb 22, 2026
+$8,987

Panthers vs. Islanders
Islanders · entry 45% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$5,734

Spurs vs. Lakers
Spurs · entry 72% · closed Feb 11, 2026
+$4,891

Bruins vs. Kraken
Kraken · entry 52% · closed Jan 7, 2026
+$4,612

Raptors vs. Bulls
Raptors · entry 65% · closed Feb 20, 2026
+$4,227

Heat vs. Wizards
Heat · entry 80% · closed Feb 9, 2026
+$3,327

Golden Knights vs. Kings
Golden Knights · entry 45% · closed Feb 26, 2026
+$2,341
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Lightning vs. Stars
Stars · entry 47% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$7,340

Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$6,645

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?
No · entry 33% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$6,096

Lightning vs. Penguins
Penguins · entry 45% · closed Jan 14, 2026
−$3,019

Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$2,607

Thunder vs. Spurs
Thunder · entry 65% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$2,409

Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$2,259

Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
Sabalenka · entry 16% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$2,088

Bills vs. Rams
Rams · entry 63% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$2,023

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?
No · entry 28% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$1,664
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,586
+$59 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No · entry 72%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,528
+$31 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Down at 98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Bought Down at 92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Sold Down at 85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Bought Down at 83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Sold Down at 73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Bought Down at 75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Sold Down at 95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Bought Down at 84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Sold Down at 75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Bought Down at 82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Sold Down at 73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Bought Up at 47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Bought Down at 93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Sold Down at 93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Bought Down at 94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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