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scrapbook

0x414b…0d3f · Joined July 14, 2024

#3,217,405 all time#1,765 this monthView on Polymarket

scrapbook is down $30K in realized results on Polymarket, with 3.8M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$30K
All-time volume (shares)
3.8M
Portfolio value
$33K
Profit this month
+$8,165
Win rate (last 198 closed)
34%

How scrapbook has traded

Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 68 (34%) ended in profit and 130 in a loss, for −$190K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 36%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 115 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $33K together, the biggest is “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes) at 16% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

    Yes · entry 48% · closed Oct 20, 2025

    +$49K

  • Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

    No · entry 45% · closed Oct 20, 2025

    +$23K

  • Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    +$16K

  • Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    +$13K

  • Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

    No · entry 48% · closed Nov 17, 2025

    +$11K

  • Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 49% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    +$7,806

  • Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 62% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$6,921

  • Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

    Yes · entry 15% · closed Jan 19, 2026

    +$6,060

  • Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

    No · entry 66% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$5,867

  • Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

    Yes · entry 68% · closed Sep 21, 2026

    +$5,251

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

    No · entry 18% · closed Jun 30, 2026

    −$85K

  • Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

    No · entry 38% · closed May 9, 2026

    −$40K

  • Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

    No · entry 20% · closed Jun 30, 2026

    −$40K

  • Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Oct 20, 2025

    −$12K

  • Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Jun 30, 2026

    −$9,427

  • Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

    Yes · entry 11% · closed Aug 19, 2025

    −$9,329

  • Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

    No · entry 40% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$4,774

  • Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?

    Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$4,695

  • Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

    No · entry 55% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$3,670

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 63% · closed Sep 20, 2026

    −$3,424

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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