afdafdafdafdafd
0x410a…2643 · Joined February 23, 2025
afdafdafdafdafd is down $85K in realized results on Polymarket, with 7.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$85K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.2M
- Portfolio value
- $752K
- Profit this month
- −$12K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 79%
How afdafdafdafdafd has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 155 (79%) ended in profit and 42 in a loss, for −$90K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 88%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $620K together, the biggest is “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$13K

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
No · entry 97% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$5,807

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$4,621

US forces enter Iran by March 7?
No · entry 84% · closed Mar 8, 2026
+$4,418

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$3,921

76ers vs. Warriors
76ers · entry 41% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$3,540

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
76ers · entry 51% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$3,430

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 76% · closed May 15, 2026
+$3,360

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 90% · closed Aug 3, 2026
+$3,005

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 96% · closed May 3, 2026
+$2,997
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
No · entry >99% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$28K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
No · entry 95% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$19K

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$17K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$16K

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
No · entry 94% · closed Mar 12, 2026
−$16K

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$13K

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
No · entry 55% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$11K

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?
No · entry 61% · closed Feb 5, 2026
−$11K

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$9,829

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 82% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$8,998
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 89%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$114K
+$6,925 P&L

Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 86%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$64K
+$5,758 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$60K
+$1,177 P&L

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$59K
+$2,427 P&L

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57K
+$1,027 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$46K
+$432 P&L

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$42K
−$215 P&L

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$39K
+$4,244 P&L

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$31 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$460 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
−$125 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$220 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$1,997 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$169 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$73 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at >99%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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