mmarbles is down $4,792 in realized results on Polymarket, with 8.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 12, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$4,792
- All-time volume (shares)
- 8.6M
- Profit this month
- −$3,913
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 76%
How mmarbles has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 150 (76%) ended in profit and 48 in a loss, for +$42K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$24K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Mar 8, 2026
+$13K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$13K
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 50% · closed Feb 10, 2026
+$5,109
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50% · closed Jan 25, 2026
+$4,197
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Connecticut Huskies · entry 24% · closed Mar 30, 2026
+$3,926
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jan 25, 2026
+$3,022
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
No · entry 71% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,838
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
No · entry 70% · closed Jan 26, 2026
+$2,613
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
No · entry 86% · closed Dec 7, 2025
+$2,419
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
No · entry 46% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$9,644
US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Feb 4, 2026
−$6,774
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Nov 29, 2025
−$5,810
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Mar 12, 2026
−$5,271
US government shutdown Saturday?
No · entry 61% · closed Feb 4, 2026
−$4,511
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jan 19, 2026
−$4,035
Heat vs. Hornets
Hornets · entry 76% · closed Apr 15, 2026
−$3,645
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Jan 25, 2026
−$3,101
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Xtreme Gaming · entry 44% · closed Apr 22, 2026
−$3,058
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$2,969
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 23%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 99%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Bought Yes at 95%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at >99%
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 13%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Bought Yes at 12%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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