drill-baby-drill
0x3e45…1efb · Joined February 25, 2026
drill-baby-drill is down $1,910 in realized results on Polymarket, with 78K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,910
- All-time volume (shares)
- 78K
- Portfolio value
- $1,806
- Profit this month
- −$12
- Win rate (last 155 closed)
- 23%
How drill-baby-drill has traded
Across the 155 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 36 (23%) ended in profit and 119 in a loss, for −$320 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 49%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $1,806 together, the biggest is “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 72% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Spurs · entry 79% · closed May 16, 2026
+$210

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 70% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$145

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Lakers · entry 75% · closed May 2, 2026
+$124

Spurs vs. Thunder
Spurs · entry 41% · closed May 31, 2026
+$59

Thunder vs. Spurs
Spurs · entry 65% · closed May 29, 2026
+$12

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
No · entry 89% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$11

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Apr 15, 2026
+$9

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jun 12, 2026
+$8

Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Mar 16, 2026
+$4

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Apr 3, 2026
+$3
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?
No · entry 63% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$103

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$57

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Apr 18, 2026
−$57

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?
Down · entry 58% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$50

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16?
Down · entry 46% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$31

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16?
Up · entry 61% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$31

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$28

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?
Down · entry 47% · closed Apr 15, 2026
−$25

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 15?
Down · entry 65% · closed Apr 15, 2026
−$25

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?
Down · entry 65% · closed Apr 12, 2026
−$23
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 5%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,300
+$300 P&L

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$279
−$194 P&L

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 0.8%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$187
+$102 P&L

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Yes · entry 4%, now 3% · ends Nov 1, 2026

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 3% · ends Nov 1, 2026

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 17%, now 8% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 3%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 2%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought Yes at 16%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 15%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 14%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 4%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Bought Yes at 17%
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.8%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Bought Yes at 0.6%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Bought Yes at 92%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
$92

Bought No at 88%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
$88

Sold No at >99%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$496

Bought No at 64%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$256

Bought Spurs at 40%
Spurs vs. Thunder
$40
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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